Stephen Thompson Currently 7/10 To Win on Saturday NightPublished on March 4th, 2017 3:54 pm EST
The Welterweight title rematch between Tyron Woodley and Stephen Thompson is slated to take place later tonight in Las Vegas in the main event of UFC 209. Thanks to the cancellation of Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson, Woodley/Thompson 2 will serve as the lone title fight on the card.
Tyron Woodley and Stephen Thompson fought to a majority draw at UFC 205. Both fighters were able to inflict damage over the course of the five round fight, and fans everywhere were enthralled by the action. Thanks to the majority draw, the UFC elected to make an immediate rematch. Tyron Woodley had been looking for a "big money" fight against Nick Diaz, Conor McGregor or Georges St. Pierre, though the UFC was insistent on an immediate Thompson rematch.
Most people believe that Thompson will be able to make the necessary adjustments to beat Woodley. Thompson is easily one of the top strikers in the sport, and it is assumed by many that he will be able to put Woodley away in this fight. Having said that, Woodley clearly has the talent and power to put Thompson away, as evidenced by his 1st round knockout of Robbie Lawler.
Here are the current betting odds for this fight:
Stephen Thompson, 7/10
Tyron Woodley, 6/5
According to these odds, Thompson should win the fight 58.82% of the time, while Woodley should win 45.45% of the time.
Here are the method of victory odds:
Thompson by KO, TKO, Submission or DQ, 13/8
Woodley by KO, TKO, Submission or DQ, 9/4
Thompson by Decision, 12/5
Woodley by Decision, 4/1
Here are the round betting odds:
Over 0.5, 1/14
Under 0.5, 15/2
Over 1.5, 3/10
Under 1.5, 12/5
Over 2.5, 4/7
Under 2.5, 6/4
Over 3.5, 10/11
Under 3.5, 4/5
Over 4.5, 6/5
Under 4.5, 8/13
In my opinion, this fight will not go the distance, which is why I would back the Under 4.5 Rounds line at 8/13. Both men have finishing power, and I believe that this fight will result in a finish. One of these two men will make the necessary adjustment to end the fight early.
All in all, this should be a tremendous main event on a card that has been severely impacted by the cancellation of Khabib vs Ferguson.