Hamburg Looks To Score Home Upset Against Bayern Munich

Published on January 22nd, 2016 10:40 am EST
Bundesliga action continues on Friday as Hamburg will play host to Bayern Munich.

As of this moment, Bayern Munich sits a full 24 points ahead of Hamburg in the Bundesliga table, as Bayern Munich currently has a record of 15-1-1 (46 points), while Hamburg has a record of 6-4-7 (22 points). While Hamburg doesn't have a great deal to play for in this game, they would be able to stick a feather in their caps if they were able to knock off Bayern Munich, which is one of the strongest football clubs in the world.

Doing so will be easier said than done, however, as Bayern Munich is a true force of nature, having scored 46 goals so far this season while allowing just 8. That's right - over a total of 17 games, Bayern Munich has allowed its opponents to score just eight goals. Given that Hamburg has only scored 19 goals so far this season, they are likely going to have a very hard time penetrating Bayern Munich's defences on Friday.

Here are the odds for Friday's match:

Hamburg, 13.00
Draw, 6.00
Bayern Munich, 1.22

According to these odds, Hamburg has just a 7.69% chance of winning at home on Friday, while Bayern Munich has a more than 80% chance of winning. Remember, the sports books know that people will be heavily betting on Bayern Munich, due to the fact that they are such a popular team, so in reality, their odds of winning this game are likely well over 90%.

Hamburg has been terrible at home so far this season, mustering up an average of just 1 point per game in front of their home fans. Bayern Munich, on the other hand, has the Bundesliga's best road record so far this season, having amassed 19 points over the course of eight games.

While Bayern Munich has been great on the road this season, their one "weakness" is perhaps the fast that they have scored just 14 goals in eight games away from home. It seems as though Hamburg's best chance for a point on Friday is playing a stifling defensive match and hoping that Bayern Munich makes a mistake. Unfortunately for Hamburg, however, this will also be Bayern Munich's strategy, and they are one of the best in the world at shutting down their opposition.

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