Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira Betting Odds

The main event of UFC 317 on Saturday, June 28th will see Ilia Topuria battle Charles Oliveira for the vacant Lightweight title.

There was all sorts of maneuvering done in order for this fight to happen. Originally, Topuria had wanted to move up to take on Islam Makhachev, but Islam vacated his Lightweight title to move up to challenge for the Welterweight title.

This has left Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira for the Lightweight title.

Topuria is the #2 pound-for-pound fighter in the UFC, which is why he is the clear favourite to win on June 28th. Topuria is regarded as one of the top strikers in the UFC and has steamrolled his way through the competition while compiling a perfect 16-0-0 record.

Oliveira is a fan favourite who has considerably more experience than Topuria. Oliveira will not win a striking match against Topuria, though he hopes to take the fight to the ground, as he has some of the best BJJ in the promotion.

Let's take an early look at the odds for this fight, courtesy of Bet365:

Source: Bet365

Time Stamp: May 14th, 2025 11:14 am EST

Odds Subject to Change

Ilia Topuria, 1.25

Charles Oliveira, 4.00

According to these odds, Topuria has a 80% chance of winning this fight, while Oliveira has just a 25% chance of winning.

This is a classic stylistic clash, and Oliveira will have to contend with one of the best strikers in the UFC in order to emerge victorious.

Topuria has an incredible amount of momentum behind him right now, though that doesn't mean much in the world of mixed martial arts fighting.


Fight Details:

Date: June 28th, 2025
Event: UFC 317
Venue: Las Vegas