Where to Bet on Germany vs Paraguay at the World Cup 2026

There is no shortage of places to bet on a World Cup, and I am not here to oversell you. The idea is to give you a clear, honest look so you can make your own call. I use Bet365 as the reference point throughout because it is one of the most widely used books in the world and its World Cup coverage is about as deep as it gets. None of that is a guarantee of anything, and the only sensible way to bet is inside a budget you set before you start.

Germany vs Paraguay: a Round of 32 tie in Boston

The basics first. Germany meet Paraguay in the Round of 32 on Monday, June 29 at Boston Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, with 90 minutes plus stoppage on the line and extra time and penalties waiting if the score is level. Germany arrive as winners of Group E, Paraguay as one of the eight best third-placed teams, and the winner moves into the Round of 16. The market makes Germany heavy favourites, and on talent alone that is fair. But Paraguay are the sort of opponent who can turn a favourite's afternoon into a long, nervy grind.

How Germany got here

Germany topped Group E, though not without a scare. They started by thrashing Curacao 7-1, a result that put goals in the bank, then beat Ivory Coast 2-1 with Deniz Undav scoring twice off the bench. The wobble came in the final group game, a defeat to Ecuador that they could afford only because the earlier results had done the work. They still won the group on their head-to-head record with Ivory Coast.

This is a Germany side back in the knockouts after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, and the attack is the reason they are favourites for this tie and dark horses for the tournament. Julian Nagelsmann can call on Jamal Musiala, Florian Wirtz, Kai Havertz and the in-form Undav, with Nick Woltemade adding height up top. The Ecuador loss is the asterisk: for all the firepower, this team has shown it can be got at.

How Paraguay got here

Paraguay are the quiet success story of Group D. Back at a World Cup for the first time since 2010, Gustavo Alfaro has built them in his own image: organised, stubborn, and very hard to score against. They beat Turkiye 1-0, drew 0-0 with Australia, and lost to the hosts USA, finishing third on four points and sneaking through as one of the best third-placed teams. Two of their three games featured a clean sheet, which tells you exactly how they want this one to go.

The catch for this match is a suspension. Midfielder Diego Gomez picked up a second yellow card of the group stage against Australia, which rules him out here, and that is a blow to a team that lives on its structure. Around the likes of Miguel Almiron, Julio Enciso and captain Gustavo Gomez, Alfaro's plan will be familiar: stay compact, frustrate Germany, and hit on the break or from a set piece. It is not pretty, but it has taken them this far.

What the odds are telling us

The market makes Germany heavy favourites, and the prices reflect it. Here is how the main numbers looked at the time of writing.A price of 1.36 on Germany means a bet of 10 returns 13.60 in total if it lands, stake included. The To Advance line is even shorter, Germany at 1.16 to reach the Round of 16 against Paraguay at 5.00, which is the book backing the favourite firmly while still pricing Paraguay as a possible upset.

The goals markets lean toward goals, which makes sense with Germany's attack involved. Over/Under 2.5 came in at Over 1.72 and Under 2.10, and Both Teams To Score was Yes 2.05, No 1.70. The Asian spread is the line that tells the real story: Germany at -1.5 was 2.025 and Paraguay at +1.5 was 1.825, so the market expects Germany not just to win but to win by two or more, which is a big ask against an Alfaro defence.

On the player markets, Bet365 was pricing shots on target rather than goalscorers for this game, with Germany's forwards to the fore: Deniz Undav was around 1.20 for one or more shots on target, Nick Woltemade near 1.25 and Kai Havertz around 1.36.

One honest caveat: these prices move. They shift with team news, money and time, so the number you see now may not be the one at kickoff. Treat all of it as a snapshot, not a fixed quote.

The Bet365 welcome offer for new customers

If you are new to Bet365, there is a welcome offer for eligible new customers when you sign up. The exact offer, its value and the currency depend on where you are betting from, so the honest move is to open the site through the link here and check what is available to you before you deposit. A few things are worth understanding wherever you are.

• Welcome offers usually involve a qualifying deposit and a qualifying bet at a minimum price, so read those conditions first.
• Bonus Bets or Bet Credits are used alongside a stake and cannot be withdrawn as cash on their own.
• When you bet with them, your returned winnings exclude the bonus stake.
• Offers are for eligible new customers only, and you have to be of legal betting age where you live.

The bonus code THEKING is applied automatically when you sign up through our link, so there is nothing extra to type, and it does not change whatever offer is available to you.

What Bet365 offers for the World Cup

Beyond the welcome offer, the reason Bet365 is a common pick for a tournament is how much is on the board once the games kick off.

Depth of markets

For a game like Germany vs Paraguay you are not stuck with the result. You will usually find Asian handicaps, total goals and alternative lines, both teams to score, correct score, first and anytime scorer, first-half markets and a long list of player props. That depth lets you bet the match the way you actually see it.

Same-game parlays and Bet Boosts

Same-game parlays, shown as SGP or bet builder, let you tie several outcomes from one match into a single wager, for example Germany to advance and over 2.5 goals. The payout is bigger because you are stacking conditions, and so is the risk, because every leg has to land. Bet Boosts are pre-set selections offered at an enhanced price, which can be decent value but are still bets like any other.

In-play and Cash Out

Live betting lets you play while the match unfolds, with prices moving in real time. Cash Out, where available, lets you close a bet before the final whistle to lock in a profit or cut a loss. Both are useful, but live prices move fast, so they reward a cool head over the heat of the moment.

What every bettor should know

This is the part that matters more than any market. A few basics keep betting where it belongs, as entertainment.

• Set a budget first. Decide what you are willing to lose before the game starts, and treat it as the cost of entertainment, not an investment.
• Understand the offer before you take it. Welcome offers come with conditions, so read the qualifying bet and minimum odds so there are no surprises.
• Prices change. Lines move with team news, money and time, so the number you see today may not be the one at kickoff.
• Favourites are not certainties. Germany are heavy favourites, but the spread is asking them to win by two against a team whose entire identity is not conceding, and they already lost to Ecuador in this tournament. Bet the game, not the crest.
• Know when to stop. If betting stops being fun, that is your signal to step away. Help is always available, and the details are below.

How to get started with Bet365

Signing up takes a few minutes: open your account, verify your details, make a qualifying deposit and place your first bet. Any available welcome offer and the bonus code THEKING are applied automatically through the link, so you can sign up at Bet365 here with nothing extra to type. As always, bet only what you can afford and inside the limits you set yourself.