The Odds Might Be Better Than You Think

Published on November 12th, 2020 11:24 am EST
Written By: Dave Manuel

There is a non-zero chance that Trump is still in the White House come February 2021, according to the odds. Joe Biden has been declared the President-elect by many throughout the world, though President Trump and his supporters continue to maintain that the election was "stolen".

President Trump has refused to concede the election and battles continue to rage in the courts. There will be recounts and a number of lawsuits are ongoing.

Most people believe that when January 20th rolls around, Joe Biden will be sworn in as the 46th President of the United States and President Trump will have vacated the White House.

There is, however, a route to President Trump potentially maintaining his residence in the White House past the election. Will the election end up with the Supreme Court? Will Republican legislatures in states where President Trump lost close battles override the electoral slates and appoint Trump President again?

These are scenarios with non-zero chances of happening, and this is being reflected in the current betting odds.

One major offshore sportsbook is offering people the chance to bet on whether or not President Trump will still be in the White House as of February 1st, 2021. The odds might be better than you think.

Here are the current betting odds as of this moment:

No, 1.12
Yes, 6.70

*Yes means that President Trump WILL still be in the White House as of February 1st, 2021


According to these odds, there is a 89.29% chance that Joe Biden is occupying the White House by early February.

According to these odds, there is a 15% chance that Donald Trump is still in the White House as of February 1st, 2021.


In short - settle in for an interesting couple of months in the United States.

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