Premier League
Fulham vs Chelsea
Craven Cottage, London
Source: Bet365 · Board captured Aug 9, 17:09 UTC · Odds subject to change - check current prices before betting
“A quarter-goal is the whole gap: Chelsea minus 0.25 and Fulham plus 0.25 sit at identical 1.925s, the closest handicap the market can quote, while the Monday-night total leans over at 1.61. The board expects goals and cannot separate these teams by more than the width of a stake split.” — Sports-King
Money line 8.42% hold
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 30.7% | ||
| Draw | 26.4% | ||
| Chelsea | 42.9% |
Goals over/under 5.59% hold
Settles on 90 minutes plus stoppage. Fair chance = the price with Bet365's margin stripped out. The board leans to the over - the market is priced for goals.
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58.8% | ||
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% |
Full ladder: 0.5 (1.03 / 15.00) · 1.5 (1.20 / 4.50) · 3.5 (2.50 / 1.53) · 4.5 (4.50 / 1.20) · 5.5 (9.00 / 1.071) · 6.5 (17.00 / 1.025) · 7.5 (29.00 / 1.006)
Both teams to score 8.14% hold
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.9% | ||
| No | 41.1% |
Asian lines 3.90% hold
Quarter lines are two bets in one. Click a row to see exactly how your stake splits and what each result returns.
| Selection | Price | Returns |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham 0.0, +0.5 ⓘ | ||
| Chelsea 0.0, -0.5 ⓘ | ||
| Goal line 3.0 - over ⓘ | ||
| Goal line 3.0 - under ⓘ |
Result and total goals 14.04% hold
Six-way combos carry the fattest margin on the board - normal, not a Bet365 quirk: combining two variables compounds the edge, which is why sharper bettors mostly stick to main lines. The fair match odds below are derived from these prices.
| Result | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Fair match odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 30.7% | ||
| Draw | 26.4% | ||
| Chelsea | 42.9% |
Scoreline heat map
A Poisson model fitted to nothing but this board (expected goals 1.36 – 1.70, from the money line and the totals). Click a cell to price it against your stake - as the model's fair value, not a Bet365 price.
Most likely: 1–1 (10.9%) · 1–2 (9.2%) · 0–1 (8.0%) · 2–1 (7.4%). Rows: Fulham goals; columns: Chelsea.
Markets this board doesn't show model-derived
Fair values built from the board's own probabilities - the model's numbers, not Bet365 prices; a yardstick if you shop these markets on site.
| Derived market | Fair chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham draw no bet | 41.7% | 2.40 |
| Chelsea draw no bet | 58.3% | 1.72 |
| Double chance: Fulham or draw | 57.1% | 1.75 |
| Double chance: Chelsea or draw | 69.3% | 1.44 |
Coherence check. The goals model predicts both teams score 60.6% of the time; the BTTS market prices it at a fair 58.9%. Within 1.7 points - this board agrees with itself.
Advertisement. 18+. Odds shown are a snapshot of the Bet365 board taken August 9, 2026 and are subject to change; check current prices before betting. Fair probabilities, the scoreline model and derived markets are computed from this snapshot alone and are not betting advice. This page contains affiliate links; Sports-King may receive a commission if you sign up through them, at no cost to you. Please gamble responsibly: set a budget before you start and never bet more than you can afford to lose. Support is available at GambleAware.org.
