Premier League
Arsenal vs Coventry City
Emirates Stadium, London
Source: Bet365 · Board captured Jul 16, 21:41 UTC · Odds subject to change - check current prices before betting
“At 1.16 on the money line with the over 2.5 favoured at 1.61, the board expects Arsenal to win this comfortably and to score freely doing it - every low-scoring scenario is priced out at long odds.” — Sports-King
Money line 7.23% hold
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 80.4% | ||
| Draw | 12.4% | ||
| Coventry City | 7.2% |
Goals over/under 5.59% hold
Settles on 90 minutes plus stoppage. Fair chance = the price with Bet365's margin stripped out. The board leans to the over - the market is priced for goals.
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58.8% | ||
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% |
Full ladder: 0.5 (1.025 / 17.00) · 1.5 (1.20 / 4.50) · 3.5 (2.50 / 1.53) · 4.5 (4.50 / 1.20) · 5.5 (9.00 / 1.071) · 6.5 (17.00 / 1.025) · 7.5 (29.00 / 1.006)
Both teams to score 6.67% hold
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.5% | ||
| No | 62.5% |
Asian lines 3.90% hold
Quarter lines are two bets in one. Click a row to see exactly how your stake splits and what each result returns.
| Selection | Price | Returns |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal -2.0 ⓘ | ||
| Coventry City +2.0 ⓘ | ||
| Goal line 3.0 - over ⓘ | ||
| Goal line 3.0 - under ⓘ |
Full ladder: Arsenal -3.5, -4.0 (5.50) · Arsenal -3.5 (4.25) · Arsenal -3.0, -3.5 (3.90) · Arsenal -3.0 (3.55) · Arsenal -2.5, -3.0 (2.85) · Arsenal -2.5 (2.375) · Arsenal -2.0, -2.5 (2.15) · Arsenal -1.5, -2.0 (1.675) · Arsenal -1.5 (1.55) · Arsenal -1.0, -1.5 (1.40) · Arsenal -1.0 (1.24) · Arsenal -0.5, -1.0 (1.20) · Arsenal -0.5 (1.175) · Coventry +3.5, +4.0 (1.15) · Coventry +3.5 (1.21) · Coventry +3.0, +3.5 (1.24) · Coventry +3.0 (1.275) · Coventry +2.5, +3.0 (1.40) · Coventry +2.5 (1.55) · Coventry +2.0, +2.5 (1.675) · Coventry +1.5, +2.0 (2.15) · Coventry +1.5 (2.375) · Coventry +1.0, +1.5 (2.85) · Coventry +1.0 (3.90) · Coventry +0.5, +1.0 (4.40) · Coventry +0.5 (4.80)
Result and total goals 13.23% hold
Six-way combos carry the fattest margin on the board - normal, not a Bet365 quirk: combining two variables compounds the edge, which is why sharper bettors mostly stick to main lines. The fair match odds below are derived from these prices.
| Result | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Fair match odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 80.4% | ||
| Draw | 12.4% | ||
| Coventry City | 7.2% |
Scoreline heat map
A Poisson model fitted to nothing but this board (expected goals 2.51 – 0.54, from the money line and the totals). Click a cell to price it against your stake - as the model's fair value, not a Bet365 price.
Most likely: 2–0 (14.9%) · 3–0 (12.5%) · 1–0 (11.9%) · 2–1 (8.0%). Rows: Arsenal goals; columns: Coventry City.
Markets this board doesn't show model-derived
Fair values built from the board's own probabilities - the model's numbers, not Bet365 prices; a yardstick if you shop these markets on site.
| Derived market | Fair chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal draw no bet | 91.8% | 1.09 |
| Coventry City draw no bet | 8.2% | 12.21 |
| Double chance: Arsenal or draw | 92.8% | 1.08 |
| Double chance: Coventry City or draw | 19.6% | 5.10 |
Coherence check. The goals model predicts both teams score 38.2% of the time; the BTTS market prices it at a fair 37.5%. Within 0.7 points - this board agrees with itself.
Advertisement. 18+. Odds shown are a snapshot of the Bet365 board taken July 16, 2026 and are subject to change; check current prices before betting. Fair probabilities, the scoreline model and derived markets are computed from this snapshot alone and are not betting advice. This page contains affiliate links; Sports-King may receive a commission if you sign up through them, at no cost to you. Please gamble responsibly: set a budget before you start and never bet more than you can afford to lose. Support is available at GambleAware.org.
