Italy Favourites To Win at Home

Published on October 12th, 2015 9:18 pm EST


An important Euro 2016 qualifying match will be taking place on Tuesday when Italy plays host to Norway.

Italy has already cemented their spot in the tournament, as they are currently sitting at the top of Group H with a record of 6-3-0. Italy could still fall to second place in the group, but they have assured themselves of a spot in the tournament.

Norway, however, is in a much more interesting predicament, as they currently sit two points ahead of Croatia in the group. As of this moment, Norway has a record of 6-1-2 (19 points), while Croatia has a record of 5-3-1 (17 points).

Croatia has a very winnable match against Malta on Tuesday, which means that Norway controls their own fate heading into their game against Italy. If the Norwegian team posts the right result, Croatia's match against Cyprus will be irrelevant.


Here are the current odds for this week's game between Norway and Italy:

Italy, 1.85
Draw, 3.50
Norway, 4.33

According to these odds, the Italian side has slightly better than even money odds of winning, while Norway is a substantial underdog.


There are six Italian players that have better than 3.00 odds of scoring on Tuesday - they are:

Eder, 2.25
Graziano Pelle, 2.25
Simone Zaza, 2.40
Fabio Quagliarella, 2.60
Sebastian Giovinco, 2.75
Stephan El Shaarawy, 2.75

For the Norwegian side, on the other hand, Alexander Soderlund has the best odds of scoring at 3.60.


Norway will likely need at least a draw on Tuesday, as Croatia can be expected to defeat Malta. Can Norway pull off the upset to put themselves into the tournament in 2016?

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