Italy Has Slight Edge To Win in One of Final Group E Games

Published on June 22nd, 2016 12:50 am EST


Italy and Ireland will be meeting in one of the final Group E games on Wednesday afternoon in France.

Italy, by virtue of their two wins so far, is sitting in the driver's seat heading into today's game and doesn't have much to play for. Ireland, on the other hand, is sitting at the bottom of Group E and would like to finish their tournament on a strong note.


Italy will likely be resting their best players today, which will make handicapping today's game a difficult task.

Here are the current odds for today's game:

Italy, 2.40
Draw, 3.10
Ireland, 3.20

So, according to these odds, the implied odds of each result taking place currently look like this:

Italy Wins - 41.67%
Draw - 32.26%
Ireland - 31.25%

Unless you have a very strong handle on today's game, there doesn't seem to be much of an edge available for gamblers.


According to the oddsmakers, here are the six likeliest outcomes of today's match:

Italy Wins 1-0, 6.00
Draw 0-0, 6.50
Draw 1-1, 6.50
Ireland Wins 1-0, 7.00
Italy Wins 2-0, 10.00
Italy Wins 2-1, 11.00

Oddsmakers are expecting a very low-scoring match today, as evidenced by this line:

Under 2.5 Goals, 1.36
Over 2.5 Goals, 3.00


Who do you think takes this game?

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