The World Cup final. Argentina, the defending champions, against Spain, the team the market now believes is the best in the tournament. These two have never met in a World Cup final before, and the stakes could hardly be written any bigger: Argentina are chasing the first back-to-back titles since Brazil in 1958 and 1962, while Spain are chasing their second star after 2010.
Kickoff is Sunday, July 19 at New York New Jersey Stadium (MetLife) in East Rutherford, at 3 pm Eastern (8 pm in the UK). Argentina booked their place by beating England in Wednesday's semifinal in Atlanta; Spain saw off France in the other semifinal. Bet365 has the full board up - money line, To Lift the Trophy, goals, both teams to score and the player markets - and below I will walk through the numbers as they stood on Wednesday night.
The Money Line: Spain Favourites in 90 Minutes
Here is the three-way money line at Bet365, which covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time only:
| Result | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|
| Spain Win | 2.30 | About 43% |
| Draw | 3.00 | About 33% |
| Argentina Win | 3.50 | About 29% |
Spain are clear favourites in regulation, and the draw at 3.00 is priced as a genuinely live outcome - finals are cagey by nature, and the world champions have made a habit of going the distance. Bet365 has its Early Payout feature attached to this market, along with a Parlay Boost flag if you are building it into a bigger ticket, and a separate Enhanced Odds version of the three-way line is also on the board.
To Lift the Trophy: The Extra-Time Tell
| To Lift the Trophy | Odds |
|---|
| Spain | 1.61 |
| Argentina | 2.30 |
This is the market that settles the only question that matters on Sunday - who takes the trophy home, extra time and penalties included.
Look at the gap between the two markets. Spain are 2.30 to win in 90 minutes but 1.61 to lift the trophy. Argentina are 3.50 in regulation but 2.30 to be champions. That spread is the market telling you it expects a very real chance this final is not settled in 90 minutes - and Argentina's own recent history is the argument: the 2022 final went to penalties, and their knockout rounds this tournament have gone long more than once.
The practical point stands for a final more than any other match: know which bet you are placing. The money line settles at the end of stoppage time. To Lift the Trophy covers everything through the last penalty.
Goals: The Under Is Heavily Favoured
The main total sits at 2.5 goals, and the board leans clearly to the under:
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|
| 0.5 | 1.10 | 7.00 |
| 1.5 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 2.5 (main line) | 2.37 | 1.57 |
| 3.5 | 4.33 | 1.22 |
| 4.5 | 10.00 | 1.062 |
| 5.5 | 19.00 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 41.00 | 1.004 |
All of these settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The under at 1.57 is short, but the logic is sound: World Cup finals are historically low-scoring, tight affairs between teams that have every reason not to lose their shape chasing a second goal. The over 1.5 at 1.44 is the market saying it does expect goals - just not a shootout.
Both Teams To Score
| Both Teams To Score | Odds |
|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
The No at 1.80 leans the same direction as the under - the market can see a clean sheet deciding this one. This market carries the Parlay Boost flag as well, and it settles on 90 minutes plus stoppage.
Result and Total Goals Combined
If you want to combine the winner with the goals line, Bet365 prices the double directly:
| Result | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|
| Spain | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| Argentina | 6.50 | 6.50 |
| Draw | 15.00 | 3.40 |
The one that catches the eye: the draw with under 2.5 goals at 3.40 - the classic tight-final script, level after 90 with the trophy decided later. These settle on regulation time, so a draw here pays regardless of what happens in extra time.
Player to Score or Assist: Extra Time Counts Here
One quirk worth knowing: this market carries Bet365's ET badge, meaning it includes extra time - in a final with a genuine chance of going long, those extra 30 minutes are worth real value. Here is the board for the leading names:
| Player | To Score | To Assist | Score or Assist |
|---|
| Lionel Messi | 2.40 | 4.33 | 1.83 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 2.40 | 5.50 | 2.00 |
| Lamine Yamal | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.25 |
| Julian Alvarez | 3.75 | 6.50 | 2.75 |
| Dani Olmo | 6.00 | 4.75 | 3.20 |
| Alex Baena | 6.00 | 5.00 | 3.25 |
Messi at 1.83 to score or assist is the shortest player price on the board - in what may be the last World Cup match of his career. Oyarzabal shares the shortest goalscorer price at 2.40, and Yamal's 4.00 to assist is the market's nod to where Spain's creation runs through.
The Bet365 Welcome Offer
If you do not have a Bet365 account yet, Bet365 runs an open account offer for new customers: Bet Credits whose type and value vary depending on your location. Deposit and place a qualifying bet, and your Bet Credits are released once the qualifying bet settles - the exact shape of the offer is shown for your country when you register.
The registration code THEKING can be used during registration, but it does not change the offer in any way - the offer is the same with or without it.
How to bet on Argentina vs Spain at Bet365:
1. Open a Bet365 account through the link on this page and complete registration.
2. Make your first deposit (minimum deposit requirement applies for the welcome offer).
3. Find the final under Soccer, World Cup 2026 - it will be impossible to miss on Sunday.
4. Pick your market, add it to your bet slip, set your stake and confirm.
Sign Up at Bet365The Sports-King Note. Now for the fine print. Spain are favourites in every market on this board, and by a distance nobody expected the defending champions to concede - but 1.61 to lift the trophy still means the market gives Argentina roughly two chances in five. The under at 1.57 and BTTS No at 1.80 are pointing the same way: a tight, low-scoring final. Remember that the money line, totals and combined markets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage only, while To Lift the Trophy includes extra time and penalties - in a final this likely to go long, do not mix those up. And the player market including extra time is a genuine edge case worth understanding before you place it, not after. As always, bet only what you can afford and inside the limits you set yourself.
Argentina vs Spain kicks off at 3 pm Eastern (8 pm UK) on Sunday, July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium (MetLife) in East Rutherford. One of them leaves with the World Cup.
Advertisement. 18+. Open account offer: Bet Credits for new customers at Bet365. The type and value of the offer vary depending on your location. Min deposit requirement. Bet Credits are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The registration code THEKING can be used during registration, but does not change the offer in any way. This page contains affiliate links; Sports-King may receive a commission if you sign up through them, at no cost to you. Source: Bet365. All odds taken from the Bet365 board on July 15, 2026 and subject to change.
Please gamble responsibly: set a budget before you start and never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is becoming a problem for you or someone close to you, free and confidential support is available at
GambleAware.org.