Saint-Denis vs Pimblett Betting: UFC 329 Odds, Boosts and Best Bets

The Tale of the Tape

The Odds

How to read those numbers together: Saint-Denis is a clear but far from overwhelming favourite at 1.71, and the market is close to certain this does not see the final bell - No at 1.40 to go the distance is the loudest number on the board. The rounds line splits the difference: the bookmaker expects a finish, but leans towards it arriving after the midway point of round two rather than a first-round blitz. That reading matters when you get to the boosts below.

Method of Victory

The shape of Saint-Denis's prices tells you the market cannot pick his weapon - 4.20 for the knockout, 4.20 for the submission, because he genuinely finishes both ways and averages around four takedowns per fifteen minutes. Pimblett's side is more opinionated: his submission at 6.75 is priced longer than his knockout at 5.00, which is interesting for a fighter whose jiu-jitsu has always been the foundation of his game - and who has spent fight week telling anyone with a microphone exactly how this ends.

The Two Boosts: One Script Each

Bet365 has boosted one price on each side of this fight, and what makes the pair worth a look is that they are effectively the two fight scripts priced against each other:

Saint-Denis by KO, TKO or DQ and Under 1.5 rounds - boosted from 6.50 to 7.00. This is the God of War doing God of War things: the early storm, the left body kick Pimblett himself has flagged as the biggest threat, and a finish before the fight settles. The stat that supports it is remarkable - Saint-Denis has never won a fight that reached round three. When he wins, he wins early.

Pimblett by Submission and Under 2.5 rounds - boosted from 7.50 to 8.50. And this is Paddy's version of events, almost word for word from his own interviews: survive the storm, drag an aggressive, hittable opponent into deep water on the mat, and finish what Renato Moicano showed was possible against Saint-Denis's guard. The extra half-fight of runway versus the BSD boost reflects that a submission usually needs the fight to breathe first. Notably, this is the boost the punters are on - it is one of the most-backed boosts on the card.

How to Bet on Saint-Denis vs Pimblett

Every price on this page is from Bet365, which covers UFC 329 top to bottom - the win line, rounds, method of victory, round-by-round betting and same-game parlays across the whole card, McGregor-Holloway included. New UK customers can claim the Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets welcome offer when signing up; the bonus code THEKING can be used during registration, but it does not change the offer amount.

See the full Saint-Denis vs Pimblett odds at Bet365 »