Premier League
Brentford vs Tottenham
Gtech Community Stadium, London
Source: Bet365 · Board captured Aug 8, 19:58 UTC · Odds subject to change - check current prices before betting
“The level Asian line is the tell: a pick-em dressed as a home edge, with Brentford 2.25 against Tottenham 2.87 and draw-no-bet priced 1.80 to 2.05. The board's strongest opinion is not about who wins - both teams to score at 1.53 says the defenses are the entertainment.” — Sports-King
Money line 7.86% hold
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|
| Brentford | | 41.2% | |
| Draw | | 26.5% | |
| Tottenham | | 32.3% | |
Goals over/under 5.59% hold
Settles on 90 minutes plus stoppage. Fair chance = the price with Bet365's margin stripped out. The board leans to the over - the market is priced for goals.
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|
| Over 2.5 | | 58.8% | |
| Under 2.5 | | 41.2% | |
Full ladder: 0.5 (1.04 / 13.00) · 1.5 (1.20 / 4.50) · 3.5 (2.62 / 1.50) · 4.5 (4.50 / 1.20) · 5.5 (9.00 / 1.071) · 6.5 (19.00 / 1.02) · 7.5 (34.00 / 1.005)
Both teams to score 7.55% hold
| Selection | Price | Fair chance | Returns |
|---|
| Yes | | 60.8% | |
| No | | 39.2% | |
Asian lines 4.34% hold
Quarter lines are two bets in one. Click a row to see exactly how your stake splits and what each result returns.
| Selection | Price | Returns |
|---|
| Brentford 0.0 ⓘ | | |
| Tottenham 0.0 ⓘ | | |
| Goal line 3.0 - over ⓘ | | |
| Goal line 3.0 - under ⓘ | | |
Full ladder: Brentford -1.5, -2.0 (5.90) · Brentford -1.5 (4.40) · Brentford -1.0, -1.5 (4.10) · Brentford -1.0 (3.55) · Brentford -0.5, -1.0 (2.75) · Brentford -0.5 (2.35) · Brentford 0.0, -0.5 (2.075) · Brentford 0.0, +0.5 (1.575) · Brentford +0.5 (1.45) · Brentford +0.5, +1.0 (1.325) · Brentford +1.0 (1.20) · Brentford +1.0, +1.5 (1.175) · Brentford +1.5 (1.15) · Brentford +1.5, +2.0 (1.10) · Tottenham +1.5, +2.0 (1.13) · Tottenham +1.5 (1.20) · Tottenham +1.0, +1.5 (1.225) · Tottenham +1.0 (1.275) · Tottenham +0.5, +1.0 (1.425) · Tottenham +0.5 (1.575) · Tottenham 0.0, +0.5 (1.725) · Tottenham 0.0, -0.5 (2.35) · Tottenham -0.5 (2.675) · Tottenham -0.5, -1.0 (3.30) · Tottenham -1.0 (4.40) · Tottenham -1.0, -1.5 (4.80) · Tottenham -1.5 (5.50) · Tottenham -1.5, -2.0 (7.00)
Result and total goals 15.60% hold
Six-way combos carry the fattest margin on the board - normal, not a Bet365 quirk: combining two variables compounds the edge, which is why sharper bettors mostly stick to main lines. The fair match odds below are derived from these prices.
| Result | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Fair match odds |
|---|
| Brentford | | | 41.2% |
| Draw | | | 26.5% |
| Tottenham | | | 32.3% |
Scoreline heat map
A Poisson model fitted to nothing but this board (expected goals 1.60 – 1.45, from the money line and the totals). Click a cell to price it against your stake - as the model's fair value, not a Bet365 price.
Most likely: 1–1 (11.0%) · 2–1 (8.8%) · 1–2 (8.0%) · 1–0 (7.6%). Rows: Brentford goals; columns: Tottenham.
Markets this board doesn't show model-derived
Fair values built from the board's own probabilities - the model's numbers, not Bet365 prices; a yardstick if you shop these markets on site.
| Derived market | Fair chance | Fair odds |
|---|
| Brentford draw no bet | 56.1% | 1.78 |
| Tottenham draw no bet | 43.9% | 2.28 |
| Double chance: Brentford or draw | 67.7% | 1.48 |
| Double chance: Tottenham or draw | 58.8% | 1.70 |
Coherence check. The goals model predicts both teams score 61.1% of the time; the BTTS market prices it at a fair 60.8%. Within 0.3 points - this board agrees with itself.
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