Germany and Brazil a Virtual Coin Flip

Published on July 6th, 2014 3:31 pm EST
Both of the semi-final matches in the 2014 World Cup feature very close contests between two very good teams.

In the case of Brazil/Germany, however, the oddsmakers are saying that the game is a virtual coin flip, meaning that neither team really has an edge.

Normally the Brazilian side likely would have had the edge in the odds, mainly due to their home field advantage, though they will be dealing with a couple of key players being missing from their line-up.

Neymar, who is Brazil's best player and most dangerous striker, suffered a back injury during Brazil's victory over Columbia in the quarter finals and will be missing the game. Thiago Silva, on the other hand, will be missing the semi finals due to a yellow card that he took in the same game.

Brazil advanced to the semi-finals after beating Columbia 2-1, while Germany managed to advanced after scraping past France 1-0. Germany suffered a scare in their game, as France came within an inch of tying the game in the last minutes of the contest.


Here are the current odds for Germany/Brazil:

Brazil, 2.80
Draw, 3.30
Germany, 2.75

As you can see, the odds of winning are virtually identical, with neither team seen as having the edge.

When we look at the odds to qualify, we can see that the teams have identical odds of advancing:

To Qualify

Brazil, 1.90
Germany, 1.90


The oddsmakers are also predicting a low scoring contest, as evidenced by these odds:

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals, 2.40
Under 2.5 Goals, 1.53

In short - don't be surprised if we see a very close, low scoring game that goes to extra time or even penalty kicks.

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