Russia Has Small Edge To Win at Home on Saturday

Published on September 5th, 2015 12:28 am EST
Russia and Sweden are set to lock horns in Euro 2016 qualifying action on Saturday afternoon.

As of this moment, Group G looks like this:

Austria, 16 points
Sweden, 12 points
Russia, 8 points
Montenegro, 5 points
Liechtenstein, 5 points
Moldova, 2 points

As you can see, Sweden has the chance to really put some distance between themselves and Russia on Saturday. Sweden can essentially lock their bid to the Euro 2016 tournament on Saturday, while a loss for Russia means that they could find themselves in a tie with either Montenegro or Liechtenstein for third place in the group. The nine group winners, the nine group runners-up and the best third place side directly qualify for the tournament, while the remaining eighth-place teams are left to play in four playoff games to determine the remaining four entrants.

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Let's take a look at the odds for Saturday's game:

Russia, 2.05
Draw, 3.10
Sweden, 4.00

By virtue of their home field advantage, Russia has the edge for Saturday's game. Sweden, however, will be content to play to a draw, as it will maintain their lead over Russia.

The biggest difference maker in this game is obviously Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who is currently listed at 2.90 to score on Saturday. Russia, on the other hand, will be relying on the likes of Aleksandr Kokorin and Artem Dzyuba to ripple the twine.

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The oddsmakers are expecting a low scoring battle on Saturday - here are the current odds:

Under 2.5 Goals, 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals, 2.50

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This is a must-win game for Russia, while Sweden can virtually cement their spot in the Euro 2016 tournament with a victory. Who will come out on top?

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